Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.001128 0.001280 0.001435 0.001602 0.001777 0.001956 0.002151
2025-04-06 0.000932 0.001153 0.001384 0.001643 0.001921 0.002211 0.002533
2025-04-13 0.000807 0.001082 0.001380 0.001721 0.002097 0.002494 0.002941
2025-04-20 0.000617 0.000919 0.001260 0.001661 0.002113 0.002600 0.003156
2025-04-27 0.000455 0.000770 0.001141 0.001592 0.002111 0.002678 0.003336
2025-05-04 0.000381 0.000718 0.001128 0.001639 0.002235 0.002894 0.003665
2025-05-11 0.000266 0.000595 0.001020 0.001566 0.002216 0.002945 0.003807
2025-05-18 0.000165 0.000474 0.000903 0.001473 0.002167 0.002957 0.003900
2025-05-25 0.000107 0.000401 0.000839 0.001439 0.002184 0.003040 0.004072
2025-06-01 0.000054 0.000319 0.000753 0.001371 0.002154 0.003067 0.004175
2025-06-08 0.000026 0.000269 0.000708 0.001352 0.002182 0.003158 0.004350
2025-06-15 0.000018 0.000261 0.000723 0.001412 0.002306 0.003361 0.004655
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000215 0.000688 0.001422 0.002391 0.003547 0.004974
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000185 0.000675 0.001462 0.002516 0.003784 0.005357
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000171 0.000687 0.001537 0.002688 0.004080 0.005812
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000114 0.000611 0.001481 0.002688 0.004168 0.006023
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000066 0.000533 0.001415 0.002672 0.004233 0.006207
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000053 0.000528 0.001460 0.002802 0.004477 0.006602
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000022 0.000456 0.001391 0.002776 0.004526 0.006762
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000003 0.000377 0.001303 0.002718 0.004533 0.006870
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000335 0.001271 0.002736 0.004632 0.007087
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000279 0.001207 0.002704 0.004666 0.007223
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000250 0.001189 0.002736 0.004780 0.007457